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2024-12-14 11:26:55
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The negative spread of 10-year treasury bonds between China and the United States has expanded to more than 250BP, the largest since June 2002.Shanghai Securities: The pharmaceutical and bio-industry is expected to further repair its performance and valuation. The Shanghai Securities Research Report pointed out that with the support of policies and the adjustment of the internal structure of the industry, the pharmaceutical and bio-industry is expected to further repair its performance and valuation. It is suggested to pay attention to five directions: 1) Innovative drugs (with strong national policy support, the payment terminal is expected to further improve and go to sea to occupy the global market); 2)CXO (the negative impact of the biosafety bill event has been eliminated, and the demand for orders in the superimposed interest rate reduction cycle has increased, which is expected to usher in a double repair of performance and valuation); 3) Imitation and innovation (centralized procurement is expected to clear up, increase innovation, and traditional pharmaceutical companies will usher in new opportunities); 4) Traditional Chinese Medicine (the national policy supports the innovation of traditional Chinese medicine, and its performance is expected to maintain a good growth rate); 5) Medical devices (equipment updating, high-consumption innovation, low-consumption going to sea, etc.). Individual stocks can be concerned about: Baekje Shenzhou, Wuxi PharmaTech, China Resources Sanjiu and so on.Pacific Securities: The reversal of photovoltaic industry is about to focus on three directions. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that with the continuous breakthrough of new markets and technologies, the new cycle of photovoltaic parity is accelerating, and the reversal of photovoltaic industry is about to begin. It is suggested to focus on three directions: 1) The new cycle of supply and demand is expected to start in 2025, the industry quotation and profit are expected to be restored, and the leading advantages will be gradually highlighted. In 2025, it is expected to usher in a new round of growth, including Longji Green Energy and Jingke Energy. 2) New technology fields with large cost reduction space and continuous technology iteration, such as GCL Technology and Perovskite, are expected to fully benefit; 3) The advantages of supporting facilities and leading enterprises are prominent, and emerging markets are expected to promote the rapid improvement of shipments and profits, and the advantages of leading enterprises will be further enhanced, and enterprises such as Sunshine Power and Foster are expected to fully benefit.


Domestic futures fell more and rose less, No.20 rubber fell nearly 3%, domestic futures fell more and rose less, No.20 rubber fell nearly 3%, Shanghai Bank and BR rubber fell nearly 2%, and rubber, caustic soda, vegetable oil, rapeseed meal, hot coil, international copper and pulp fell more than 1%. In terms of increase, Shanghai nickel and alumina rose by over 1%, while SC crude oil and palm oil rose by nearly 1%.Hebai Group: With the help of policy dividends, it will further stimulate new consumer demand and help the company's sales promotion. Hebai Group (000417) said on the interactive platform on December 13th that the company's top 100 electrical appliances actively grasped the new round of "trade-in" policy opportunity, adhered to "policy+activity" to stimulate new consumption potential, and quickly launched more than 33,000 subsidized goods in 8 categories of household appliances and 24 categories of smart homes. Since the implementation of the national subsidy policy in 2024, there have been more than 100,000 rejuvenation machines in stores in Anhui Province, with sales exceeding 400 million yuan, and the sales of household appliances in stores increased by 121% year-on-year. In the next step, the company will seize the time window, continue to integrate resources, closely focus on the national subsidy policy for household appliances in Anhui Province and Hefei consumer vouchers, and further stimulate new consumer demand with the help of policy dividends to help the company's sales increase.The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 500 billion.


Klarna, a Swedish payment company, said that it stopped recruiting hundreds of employees because of AI during the year. Sebastian Siemiatkowski, CEO of Klarna, a Swedish payment company planning to go public in the US, said that the company stopped recruiting a year ago, mainly because it invested in artificial intelligence (AI), which can replace the work of hundreds of employees in the company. According to Siemiatkowski, the number of employees decreased by 22% to 3,500 within one year, mainly due to brain drain. He pointed out that at present, about 200 employees in the company use artificial intelligence for their core work, and will improve the efficiency of artificial intelligence by accelerating the salary growth of employees.Tik Tok bean bag concept stocks opened lower and went higher, three-dimensional communication rose daily, Zhejiang-Wenzhou Internet, Zhangyue Technology and Guangbo shares rose sharply.Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".

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